We follow the successful efforts method of accounting for our oil and gas activities, as described in Note 1 to our Consolidated Financial Statements. Successful efforts accounting depends on the estimated reserves we believe are recoverable from our oil and gas properties.
The process of estimating reserves is complex. It requires significant judgments and decisions based on available geological, geophysical, engineering and economic data. To estimate the economically recoverable oil and natural gas reserves and related future net cash flows, we incorporate many factors and assumptions including:
- expected reservoir characteristics based on geological, geophysical and engineering assessments;
- future production rates based on historical performance and expected future operating and investment activities;
- future oil and gas prices and quality differentials;
- assumed effects of regulation by governmental agencies; and
- future development and operating costs.
We believe these factors and assumptions are reasonable based on the information available to us at the time we prepare our estimates. However, these estimates may change substantially as additional data from ongoing development activities and production performance becomes available and as economic conditions impacting oil and gas prices and costs change.
Management is responsible for the estimates of the quantities of proved oil and gas reserves and for preparing related disclosures. Estimates and related disclosures are prepared in accordance with SEC requirements, generally accepted industry practices in the US and the standards of the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook modified to reflect SEC requirements.
Reserve estimates for each property are internally prepared at least annually by the property’s reservoir engineer and geoscientists. They are reviewed by engineers familiar with the property and by divisional management. An Executive Reserves Committee, including our CEO, CFO and board-appointed internal qualified reserves evaluator, meet with divisional reserves personnel to review the estimates and any changes from previous estimates.
The internal qualified reserves evaluator assesses whether our reserves estimates and the Standardized Measure of Discounted Future Net Cash Flows and Changes Therein, included in the Supplementary Financial Information, have been prepared in accordance with our reserve standards. His opinion stating that the reserves information has, in all material respects, been prepared according to our reserves standards is included as an exhibit to this Form 10-K.
Our reserves are based on internal estimates. To increase our confidence in our estimates, we have at least 80% of our oil and gas and Syncrude reserves either evaluated or audited annually by independent qualified reserves consultants. Given that reserve estimates are based on numerous assumptions, interpretations and judgments, differences frequently arise between the estimates prepared by different qualified estimators. When the initial estimate on the portfolio of properties differs by greater than 10%, we work with the independent reserves consultant to reconcile the difference to within 10%. Estimates pertaining to individual properties within the portfolio often differ by significantly more than 10%, either positively or negatively. We do not attempt to resolve each property to within 10% as it would be time and cost prohibitive given the number of wells in which we have an interest.
The nature and extent of the independent evaluations and audits, and the results thereof, are provided in the section on Reserves, Production and Related Information.
The Board of Directors has a Reserves Review Committee (Reserves Committee) to assist the board and the Audit and Conduct Review Committee to oversee the annual review of our oil and gas and Syncrude reserves and disclosures of reserves data and related oil and gas and mining activities. The Reserves Committee is comprised of three or more directors, the majority of whom are independent and familiar with estimating oil and gas reserves. The Reserves Committee meets with management periodically to review the reserves process, the portfolio of properties selected by management for independent assessment, results and related disclosures. The Reserves Committee appoints and meets with the internal qualified reserves evaluator and independent reserves consultants, independent of management, to review the scope of their work, whether they have had access to sufficient information, the nature and satisfactory resolution of any material differences of opinion, and in the case of the independent reserves consultants, their independence. In the event of a proposed change to the areas of responsibility of either an independent reserves consultant or the internal qualified reserves evaluator, the Reserves Committee inquires whether there have been disputes between the respective party and management.
The Reserves Committee has reviewed our procedures for preparing the reserves estimates and related disclosures. It reviewed the information with management, and met with the internal qualified reserves evaluator and the independent qualified reserves consultants. As a result, the Reserves Committee is satisfied that the internally-estimated reserves are reliable and free of material misstatement. Based on the recommendation of the Reserves Committee, the board has approved the reserves estimates and related disclosures in the Form 10-K.
Reserves estimates are critical to many of our accounting estimates, including:
- determining whether or not an exploratory well has found economically producible reserves. If successful, we capitalize the costs of the well, and if not, we expense the costs immediately. In 2008, $203 million of our total $401 million spent on exploration drilling was expensed. If none of our exploration drilling had been successful, our net income would have decreased by $125 million, net of income tax.
- calculating our unit-of-production depletion rates. Both proved and proved developed reserves estimates are used to determine rates that are applied to each unit-of-production in calculating our depletion expense. Proved reserves are used where a property is acquired and proved developed reserves are used where a property is drilled and developed. In 2008, oil and gas and Syncrude depletion of $1,340 million (before impairments) was recorded in depletion, depreciation, amortization and impairment expense. If our reserves estimates changed by 10%, our depletion, depreciation, amortization and impairment expense would have changed by approximately $134 million, assuming no other changes to our reserves profiles.
- assessing, when necessary, our oil and gas assets for impairment. Estimated future undiscounted cash flows are determined using proved reserves. The critical estimates used to assess impairment, including the impact of changes in reserves estimates, are discussed on the following pages.
Since we do not have any loan covenants directly linked to reserves, it would take a significant decrease in our proved reserves to limit our ability to borrow money under our term credit facilities, as previously described in the Liquidity section of the MD&A.
